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AdLib On September - 19 - 2016

hillary-trump

The first Presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will take place one week from today. Some pundits are predicting Trump is more likely to win because the bar has been so lowered for him (as long as he doesn’t urinate on his podium to mark it as his territory, he’ll exceed expectations). Others predict Hillary has the advantage because of her command of details and her track record as a skilled and successful debater.

Factoring both of these views together, one may arrive at a concern that Hillary’s debate skills may not be enough and she’ll need to factor in the Trump effect. She may need one or more strategies, depending on how Trump conducts himself, to win the debate not only on substance but when it comes to perception.

So what would be the best strategies for Hillary to prepare to beat Trump in the first debate? Here are some possibilities:

  1. Provoke – Nothing was more devastating to Trump’s campaign than his attack on the Gold Star parents, the Khans, after their indictment at the DNC convention of his bigotry and anti-Constitutional rhetoric. It doesn’t seem difficult to get under Trump’s thin skin and provoke a hateful, knee-jerk response (and the “jerk” part isn’t limited to his knee). Should Hillary be aggressive in trying to provoke Trump into spewing something that loses him the debate? This seems far too obvious a tactic, one which Trump’s cabal may have well prepared him for. Or it could just drag both down into the swamp and leave all feeling uneasy about both of them. Knowing Trump is likely expecting this, he could use a rope-a-dope tactic to let Hillary throw a lot of punches at him to make her look like the angry, emotional one and himself like the calm, reasoned one. The best plans in debates are not the most predictable ones, better to play the opponent in chess than dodgeball. To this end, it may be best for Hillary to deliver criticisms of Trump to viewers in reaction to his answers, in a thoughtful and calm way which could offer the best of both worlds. Taking down Trump for his bigotry, lying and extremism and hopefully provoking him while reflecting the taking of the high road…as a President might do. She could prepare specific responses based on topics and specific proclamations Trump has made along the way as well as overall summations of his disturbed mentality…but delivered with calm concern.
  2. Stay Positive – Left to his own devices, Trump ends up saying something offensive and unflattering eventually. Hillary could sabotage his plans to counter her attacks on him by just staying positive and providing simple explanations of how she will make the country and life for Americans better. This could provide a great counterpoint to Trump’s negativity, Trump may just  regurgitate hatred towards her and offer only vague promises based on his magical Trumpian powers to solve every issue in America with a wave of his remarkably small wand. This is not to say that Hillary shouldn’t expose Trump’s deceit or defend herself from his lies at times but by refusing to fully jump in the mud pit with Trump, it could improve the perception of her while muddying Trump’s image and undermining his attempt to win the debate.
  3. Nail Him to his Bigotry – This latest con game of Trump’s, to obviously deceive the public into not thinking of him as the bigot he has proven himself to be over the past five years, betrays that his pollsters have shown him that he can’t win the presidency if he’s seen as a bigot. So if he’s drawing a red  “x” on his weakest point, why not hit him where “x” marks the spot? To win the debate and ensure Trump’s loss at the polls, perhaps Hillary should use this debate to permanently hammer the stake of racism through his heart (that is, the empty construction lot in his chest where most humans’ hearts are). Hillary could walk viewers through his history of bigotry, beginning with his violating the civil rights of blacks by coding their rental applications to deny them housing, taking out a full page ad in The NY Times to demand the death penalty for the black Central Park Five who were innocent of all charges, leading the Birther movement against our first black president for five years, entering the race by calling Mexicans criminals and rapists, denigrating women throughout his life and more recently saying that if harassed, they should just leave their job, declaring that Latino judges are unfit as judges because of their heritage, proposing that all Muslims should be preventing from entering America, etc. Not to mention the Klansmen, Neo-Nazis, Anti-Semites and Alt Right/White Power types running and supporting his campaign. If changing the view of him as a bigot is so key to his winning the race, plastering that label on him may not only be lasting, it could provoke him to say something even more damaging to himself that makes him lose the debate and election in a bigger way.
  4. Focus on The Big Picture – Many pundits insist that voters’ eyes glaze over when Hillary presents facts, details and specific policies. While in contrast to Trump being beside her and blathering about crazy generalizations, that may not be the case, perhaps describing what the next four years will look like under her vs. Trump would accomplish both goals of informing and presenting very simple and accessible concepts. She could describe her vision for improving health care, the economy, infrastructure, cooperation in DC, combating ISIS, etc. while describing the dystopian future a President Trump would bring about. A crashing economy and destroying of the social safety net his policies would bring about, new wars that may even involve nukes, ending the federal minimum wage law, limiting the free speech of people and the press, creating a multi-billion dollar storm trooper task force to arrest and deport 11 million people including the legal American children they have, walling off America to Muslims and inspiring hatred towards Americans who are Muslim, establishing a totalitarian-type loyalty and religious test for those trying to enter the US, committing war crimes against suspected terrorists and murdering their entire families, making ISIS’ dream come true and fueling its growth by affirming that America is in a religious war against Muslims, destroying NATO and giving Russia tacit permission to invade neighboring countries at will, etc. Perhaps those merely thinking of flipping the middle finger to our government by supporting Trump will then consider the real world hell that would await them if he actually did get elected. Comparing those two futures could also help Hillary in the present, by giving her a win in the debate and a rise in her polls.
  5. Be Presidential – The best way to attack Trump may be to stand as something he could never be, presidential. Hillary could ignore all the voices calling for her to be less of a policy wonk and display her knowledge and understanding of the nation and the world when a topic is raised. Whether it’s race relations, wages, trade, war, etc., instead of focusing too much on Trump’s crazy ideas on them (which he will soon share anyway), she could explain the reasoning behind her positions and her plans,  looking like the more presidential of the two who will be prepared to act on the crucial issues of the day. She could emphasize her experience and know how over Trump’s ignorance, expressing that crises always pop up and if someone is calm, seasoned and thoughtful, they can be handled more successfully for the American people. When attacked by Trump, she could respond in a mature way, taking apart his attack’s lies calmly. She can look Presidential, he can’t, this is one area where he can’t compete with her.
  6. Disqualify Trump – As opposed to arguing each and every issue and defending herself against the inevitable personal attacks Trump will hurl at her in the debates, Hillary could instead spend her attention on pulling back the curtain on Oz and exposing him for being a little, deceptive man using all kinds of trickery to con the electorate into giving him power. She could respond to his insults, bigotry, dishonesty and fragile ego by concentrating on what he says as proving he’s unfit to hold the office as our President. She could use the entire debate to lay out an argument that Trump is incapable of acting in the best interests of the people or the world since his ego comes first, that his proclamations against America, Latinos, Women, Blacks, Muslims, the Constitution, our military, generals and Gold Star Parents, POWs,the Geneva Convention, etc de facto make him unfit to be President. His embrace of dictators, his appearance on Russia’s tv propaganda channel to disparage our country and president, his policy to let nukes spread around the world and launch trade wars against our allies and biggest trading partners, his hiding of his financial ties to Russia, China, organized crime and more all disqualify him from occupying the White House. Additionally, she could name some of the top foreign policy experts, Republican and Democratic, who have all come out to say Trump represents a threat to America and the world if he became Commander in Chief.
  7. Out-Trump Trump – Trump’s ploy to keep his opponents on defense is to concoct a phony charge about them so they can’t do anything but focus themselves and the public on his propaganda. It would be getting down into the mud with him but as the old saying goes, if you’re gonna wrestle a pig, you better be prepared to get dirty. Hillary could turn the tables on Trump and accuse him of something that may be suspected about him but not provable (yet). For example, she could state that she is confident that Trump’s tax returns would prove he is in bed with Putin and Russia as well as other countries like China and that the reason he’s hiding them is to prevent the American people from discovering that for financial reasons, he may sell them out. Knowing Trump won’t ever release his taxes because at a minimum they will show he doesn’t give to charity and pays little if any taxes, Trump wouldn’t be able to refute this with proof which would give this attack on him a more and more powerful life. The worst that could happen is that Trump would feel forced to release his tax returns and if they didn’t show ties to Russia and Putin, they would still be damaging to him. Damned if he does, damned if he doesn’t. Either way, if Hillary gives Donald some of his own medicine, he may choke on it.
  8. Remember Bush? – Trump’s economic policies are more extremist than George W. Bush. Between the massive tax cuts and promises to end regulation of almost everything, it’s like steering a plane into a mountain and expecting to get to your destination (if it was the side of a mountain, you won’t be disappointed). Trump’s foreign policy is far more unhinged, ready to launch war against Iran if one of their sailors flips off one of our ships, keeping nukes on the table to use in Europe, believing that it’s good policy to invade countries and steal their resources, approving of torture and supporting ISIS’ view of The West as on a crusade against the Muslim religion, letting Russia invade the rest of the world, etc. Meanwhile, Trump’s VP pick, Mike Pence has said he would want his Vice Presidency to walk in the same footsteps as Dick Cheney. Compared to the Bush years, a Trump presidency would be like the new Blair Witch sequel, mostly the same story but more expensive and far more disastrous than the original. Don’t we remember what happened the last time we had a President who “represented the regular guy”? Who was anti-intellectual, was the alternative to the “establishment” choice, supported supply side economics and had no reservations starting wars out of ego or financial motivations? Perhaps Hillary should remind Americans of the last time we had a Republican president who believed many of the same things Trump does. If Trump could be painted as the second (and worse) coming of George Bush, a return to those days, maybe it will have a profound effect.

Hillary wouldn’t necessarily need to commit to any of these approaches beforehand but could just carry them in her back pocket, depending on how Trump comes out at the debate, she could pull out whichever may be the most effective or, since some are complimentary, she could combine any that would be ideal.

In any case, my perspective is that coming off a dip in the polls and pneumonia, Hillary will come into the debates from a better position, instead of being the heavily favored front runner the MSM might want to bring down a notch by handing the debate to Trump, she’ll be in a position to be another Clinton “Comeback Kid” that many can root for (especially those who don’t want Mad Max to turn out to be a prescient documentary).

Written by AdLib

My motto is, "It is better to have blogged and lost hours of your day, than never to have blogged at all."

30 Responses so far.

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  1. AdLib says:

    I think it would be very effective for Hillary to find a moment when she can list all the CIA officials, generals, diplomats, Republicans, conservative papers, etc. who have come out to warn America that Trump represents a serious danger to the country and are supporting Hillary as the only reasonable choice. She could also tick off his embrace of nuclear weapons, letting Russia run rampant, wanting to commit war crimes, destroy NATO, etc.

    The best arguments are those that disqualify Trump completely.

  2. Nirek says:

    Trump has said so many things that conflict with other things he has said. He can’t keep up with all hiss lies.

    All Hillary has to do is point out his lies. Stick to the truth and she will be fine.

    • AdLib says:

      Nirek, I also hope Lester Holt will show a bit of responsibility as the moderator and press him on specifics when he just offers lies, bluster and word salad…as well as pointing out some of the lies he spews.

  3. Nirek says:

    It seems to me that if she just lets him talk, he’ll put his foot in his mouth. He can’t help himself. He speaks without thinking.
    I do think she should keep asking for his taxes and for him to explain all his ideas.

  4. AdLib says:

    Or maybe she should just give out the link to this anti-Trump video?


  5. Really, I think all Hillary has to do is hound Trump for specifics to each and every “proposal,” he makes. This, of course, would depend heavily on the moderator, but she should do it, whenever possible.
    I don’t think she should get on the playground with Trump. Hillary, known as a cool cucumber, has been known to lose her cool, and then immediately switch to defense mode and maybe let a little white lie escape, and the media would just blow it all out of proportion.
    I think she should stay on the tack she’s recently been on. Calm, knowledgeable, tough and unrelenting in her commitment to move America forward, on all fronts.
    She should thrust when the opportunity presents itself, and avoid parrying whenever possible. (fencing terms).

    • Nirek says:

      KT, she should also ask for his taxes. If he says audit, she should past taxes that are not being audited.

      • Hey my friend, how goes it?

        When Trump claims he can’t release his tax returns, that’s just more of his bullshit. Warren Buffet, a real billionaire, is being audited, and he released his returns to the public. There is no law that says he can’t release returns that are under audit.
        Hillary should demand that he release those records. I also think Hillary should let transcripts of her speech to Goldman Sacks be made public. That would really take the wind out of Trump’s sails.

      • AdLib says:

        Nirek, that was my “Out-Trump Trump” strategy. She could accuse him of being in bed with Russia, not donating to charity and being far less wealthier than he claims and say that’s why he won’t release his tax returns. She could demand that the American people receive them to know whether or not his financial ties disqualify him from the Presidency.

        I don’t think he’ll ever release them so she could land some huge punches on him without him even trying to factually defend against the charges.

    • AdLib says:

      Good strategies, KT! I do think she should repeatedly press Trump on specifics for his grand promises but not get too wrapped up in that because he’ll just keep throwing word salad at her and she’ll miss the opportunity to spell out her specifics and vision. So maybe pepper him here and there on the most important issues for specifics, when he doesn’t give them, appeal to the audience to recognize what a phony and con artist he is then pivot to outline her specific proposals, explaining how she will accomplish positive goals.

      As you say, she should thrust her sword at him when in a prime position to do so but not parry his accusations all night or he will dominate the debate the way he’s probably planning to (burying her in outrageous lies and accusations so all she does is defend herself from his charges). She needs to set up a blanket dismissive phrase for his BS attacks, slap him with it then move on to talk about her plans.

      • What bothers me is that so much depends on the moderators themselves. Lester Holt and all the other moderators for the follow up debates should not allow any “word salad ramblings.” That alone would severely deplete Trump’s stockpile of ammo against Hillary.

        I hope this first debate is not a huge softball, loosely controlled event. That would be very, very disappointing, and a travesty. I don’t want to see yet another Trump flame war. I want the issues to be front and center.

        • AdLib says:

          KT, I’m hoping that after Lauer was sliced up for his horrible hosting of the CIC forum, Holt and the rest will feel more of a responsibility to actually “moderate” the debate by pressing for answers and calling out egregious lies.

          Except for the last debate with Chris Wallace, that will be A Trump lovefest and a Hillary hatefest.

      • pinkpantheroz says:

        “There you go again, Dear Donald!”

  6. kesmarn says:

    Thanks so much AdLib. This is a very realistic and really comprehensive collection of tactics for Hillary to seriously consider before the first debate.

    I wonder if I could toss out just two more. (Are ya listening, HRC?)

    The first is that I hope she’ll consider turning loose what I’ve heard she has — and that is a terrific sense of humor. People who know her well say that she’s very funny. Nothing deflates a bully faster that a well-crafted joke at his expense. Chaplin knew that about Hitler. Use that wit, Hillary!

    The second is that she should make it crystal clear that she truly understands how many people have been left behind in this economy. Van Jones has said that he — as a Black man — has made a point of trying to get inside the head of a 53 year old white guy in Indiana who has just lost a decent union-wage job and is unable to find anything to replace it — other than a minimum wage one punching cash register keys at the Dollar Store for $7.25/hr. Jones has said that backing Trump is not a logical or acceptable reaction to that predicament, but “I can understand why that man would be looking at Trump.”

    Hillary needs to reach out to that man or woman and take away that economic “reason” (however unreasonable it is) for backing Trump. If there are still “persuadeables” (forget talking about the deplorables) out there, this is the time to go get ’em!

    • AdLib says:

      Kes, while I agree that humor is a most powerful weapon to use against a powerful opponent (I may have attempted a degree of levity here or there in articles opposing a Repub or two), Hillary is really not so effective in delivering punch lines…to be frank, she’s pretty bad at it. Like a lot of politicians, she strangles the hell out of the punchline to emphasize it, a basic mistake in comedy. Though, I doo like the idea of her doing a bemused, Reaganesque, “There he goes again, the poor nutter!” Ridiculing him in a dismissive way could hurt his image and get under his skin so he blows up.

      I do think she will reach out to wavering Trump supporters like the one you describe, that is important but I don’t know that it would be how she would be seen by the MSM as beating Trump since Trump will mimic the same sentiments, as hollow as they are coming from him.

      She really needs to use one of the above (or something else I didn’t list) to set him up to screw up, he is pretty dependable when it comes to overreacting to a perceived insult.

      Can’t wait to see it, I’m confident Hillary will come out on top.

      • kesmarn says:

        I think the moment of Hillary humor that stuck with me was in the earlier campaign in which it was noted that she was not seen as warm and/or likable. She smiled wistfully and said: “Well now…That hurts my feelings!”

        Somehow that slightly self-deprecating, slightly vulnerable humor really worked then. I wish she’d do more of it.

        • When standing next to a blowhard like Trump, a little self deprecation would really go a long way. It would give Hillary an air of humility, compared to Trump’s complete arrogance. People generally do not like other people who are arrogant, except of course, Trump’s “fans,” who aren’t going to be swayed anyhow.

    • Hey Homie. One thing I have definitely noticed is that most Trump supporters are not really suffering, economically. They drive expensive SUVs, big modern pick-up trucks and Harley Davidson motorcycles. Most of them are overweight, so we know they’re not going hungry.
      The majority of Trump supporters are his supporters for one main reason. Trump, in dog whistles and not so much dog whistles, promises to keep the white man on top and all minorities, “in their place.”
      That is really all they care about.

      • kesmarn says:

        I think there is that element, Homie. (Expensive macho-car driving Trump supporters.) But around here, it is the down-and-outers. North-western Ohio is very rustbelt, as you know. And the yard signs (and there are a lot of them) are in front of houses that are the worse for wear, and have 15 year old cars in the driveway. The recovery has passed areas like this by. So when these people are told that life is fabulous in 2016 America and we’ve never had it better, they’re looking around and saying: “Really?”

        • Hey Homie. Long time no communicada! I hope all is well with you and yours!

          I’m basically going by what I see in video clips on the MSM and various ones on the net, plus, in Reynoldsburg, basically a suburb of Columbus, I see these things.
          There is a new “trendy,” restaurant just a half a block from my place, and I see more trump stickers than I do Hillary stickers, on very expensive machines, like the ones I described. I think I actually saw one Hillary bumper sticker out of the whole lot.
          These cretins were dining out at a posh new eatery, and they were mostly overweight, because I would see them coming and going.
          Yeah, Trump plays to to “unfortunate,” but I think they mostly “unfortunate,” because they have been voting against their own interests, in election after election. City, state and national.
          Trump, as an “outsider,” has convinced them that it’s all the “system’s fault., when in reality, it’s their own damn fault for letting themselves be bamboozeled by the GOP, for decades.

          • kesmarn says:

            LOL! I hear you, Homie!

            You know it and I know it, but when are they gonna figure it out?

            • I’m afraid that will still take some time.
              They’re like addicts, who do the same thing over and over, expecting different results, but the results are always the same. The very definition of the insanity of addiction.

              I think the majority of these people are ruled by fear and bigotry. Their fear is irrational, and their unwillingness to interact with those they fear, just fuels their ignorance, and that perpetuates their bigotry. It’s very sad.

  7. gyp46 says:

    AD, somehow someway get this to the Clinton campaign, great, positive actions. My worry is ‘how do you corral a snake’!! Trump will bombast and walk around all serious issues and there are so many, unfortunately, who will not even realize he never answered one question.

    • AdLib says:

      Thanks gyp46!

      As you see, my thought is that the best way to cage this snake is to let him bite himself. One way or another it’s about indicting him on his own words and affirming a positive vision in a future without him.

      And hammering him for not answering questions is something that the moderator could do that would be responsible.


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