The delusions on the left by some continues. Every night I see the progressive pundits on MSNBC with big smiles on their faces watching the race thinking it’s in the bag for Obama because the GOP are so batcrapcrazy. In fact night after night Lawrence O’Donnell with glee says Romney and Ryan will lose the election even though he was so wrong about his previous Pawlenty predictions. The group think is that Romney is such a bad candidate and big liar that he will never win the presidency. Folks the left now has it’s own echo chamber and it’s not based in reality. The big delusion among these pundits and Democrats are that facts and policies matter in the first place to swing voters. The problem with these predictions are that for the first time in electoral history Romney has enough money to sell the big lie. In fact at least two big lies are working.
First Ronmey’s continued lie about President Obama ending the work requirement is starting to work with white working class voters. Some of the recent swing state voting has shown marked improvement by Romney. What Democrats fail to understand is that in this case the truth does not matter even among some independents. Because even if Obama is not ending the work requirement now they think he wants to and all they need is the flimsy evidence called a state waiver to believe it.
Secondly seniors are believing the Romney big lie on Medicare. It’s easy for them to understand Obama is cutting costs %716 billion with Obamacare. They never trusted Obama anyway so the explanations that there are no benefit cuts as a result play poorly with a bunch of scared seniors. Florida polls have actually been better for Romney recently even though he wants to kill Medicare as we know it. Again complacent Dems think that it’s easy to seniors the truth that ending the cuts in the ACA will actually make Medicare insolvent faster, but this assumes the seniors even know what the term ‘insolvent’ means. They see Romney’s plan as not hurting them because the Republicans cynically are not making many changes to Medicare for voters 55 or older.
There are other key indicators that the president’s chances of reelection are in peril. On top of that list are voter suppression and a huge money gap. The GOP is going to litterally give FL to Romney, some way some how Rick Scott will make an inevitable close race turn FL red like it was in 2000. Voter suppression efforts in PA and OH could be devastating to the Obama campaign as well. No matter what the GOP wants to sell they have enough money to sell it. It’s not just that the Romney has enough money to sell one lie, he has enough money to sell ALL his lies until a couple stick.
Things are getting better for Romney in other ways. No one is asking about his taxes which means no one is talking about his tax plans either. Sure Dems think we will win the culture war this time because of the war one women, but Dems have never won an election on culture wars. In fact all the groups Obama counts on are traditionally low turnout voters including single women. While Republicans thrive and turn out in droves to vote against people they hate like President Obama, Dems need to love their candidate to turn out in great numbers. While Obama is loved by his real core there are still a big group of ‘dissapointed’ lefties out there holding grudges against Obama. We don’t hear them much in an election year but that resentment is still there. There are signs this is true like voter registration for Dems being way down compared to Republicans because of this.
Most of all Democrats are complacent. They simply think that Romney/Ryan and the GOP are so out there on the right wing that American will never vote for them. But most of the middle still see the GOP as a viable alternative because they don’t dive past the shinny exterior the GOP wants them to see. Ironically Ryan does make holding onto the Senate look much better for Democrats which is good because they will be the only backstop with a Romney presidency.
So just to warn you all when the clown show called the RNC convention convenes and Romney is repackaged expect Romney to take a lead in the polls. The vast majority of his gaffes and missteps will be nothing but distant memories when most people were not watching anyway. Romney will look like a shinny new car even though he was totaled because most voters won’t bother to check the Carfax. All his previous gaffes have done is set the expectations so low for Romney in the debates that if he comes close to Obama he wins. So after Romney becomes the official nominee he can really unload his war chest in the swing states and the big lies will become truths with the voters he needs in November.
The worse part of all is when Romney gets elected he will get all the benefits of an economy Obama saved and slide to an easy reelection. Romney will increase government spending drastically and get the economy supercharged at least until the next bubble breaks. Electing Romney would have been like giving FDR only four years to fix the Great Depression so there would have been Republican presidents who are as legendary as FDR is now.
This election is for the heart and soul of America and we could find out that our collective hearts and souls can be bought.