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Comments Posted By funksands

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Election Night Thread – Super Tuesday III – 3-15-2016

Boy the night is looking good for the front-runners. This may be a decisive evening. I’m fairly certain that Bernie will stay in until the end of April, but not as certain as I was. 🙁

» Posted By funksands On March 15, 2016 @ 5:33 pm

KT, I do. It’s an open primary. Independents and the odd Republican can come in and vote for Bernie. The results sure don’t bear it out so far though lol

» Posted By funksands On March 15, 2016 @ 5:31 pm

The ideal is that Trump goes into the convention with a majority of delegates, but not quite enough. That will set off thermonuclear war.

» Posted By funksands On March 15, 2016 @ 5:28 pm

KT, their ace in the hole is if Trump comes into the convention with less than the threshold delegate count. Delegates are required by rule to support their pledged candidate on the FIRST ballot only. If that vote is taken and Trump doesn’t have the count, those delegates can vote for whomever they like on the second ballot.

If Trump has the correct number of pledged delegates I think they’re hosed. Either they break their own party rules and piss off 40% of their electorate and shatter the party, or they meekly submit. I’m obviously hoping for this scenario.

» Posted By funksands On March 15, 2016 @ 5:27 pm

I really hope Bernie over performs in Florida. He could win Missouri, Ohio and Illinois and still lose significant ground in the delegate count. Hillary is tightening her grip on the math even as Bernie gets closer and closer in every poll. By my calculation Bernie needs to win 59% of the remaining delegates on the board to have a chance at the nomination.

Anyone else have a different number?

Keep your fingers crossed!

Trump will win Florida, and Rubio will bow out. Trump may win North Carolina and Missouri, but I don’t think so.
Kasich will win Ohio and linger a bit longer
Cruz will win Illinois, probably in North Carolina, AND Missouri because of their open primary status and gain some strength. (This is what I am also hoping for)

If Trump wins Florida and North Carolina and Missouri, the race is effectively over. If he adds Ohio, even Cruz will think twice about continuing.

I keep thinking that Cruz and Kasich will linger as long as possible, thinking that somehow Trump will screw this up and hand them a gift. Katich, unfortunately will run into money problems, Cruz does not have that issue.

» Posted By funksands On March 15, 2016 @ 2:23 pm

Election Night Thread – 3-8-2016

Nate Silver called it the biggest miss in history for Presidential primary polling. Wow.

» Posted By funksands On March 8, 2016 @ 10:26 pm

Election Day Thread – Super Tuesday Primaries 2016

“Perfect Strangers” (come August)

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Awful human introduces even awfuler human to adoring crowd….story at 11.

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 7:37 pm

Congrats to tonights big winners…

[img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CcgkEd5UMAAk9Eb.jpg[/img]

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 7:35 pm

The Case for/against Hillary Clinton

Monica, I didn’t even consider the looting angle! I may have to re-think my theory!

» Posted By funksands On March 3, 2016 @ 3:25 pm

Agrippa, with an Obama in the White House and a Clinton running and a Drumpf running, it will be a show indeed.

I have much more confidence about the Senate. I anticipate a very slim majority for the Dems, but that functionally won’t matter unless you have 60. We’ve seen that movie before.

» Posted By funksands On March 3, 2016 @ 3:24 pm

Man, you couldn’t have said it any better. Nice.

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 3:10 pm

Gyp, I think you drew what I was hoping you would draw from the article. Thanks for the reply.

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 3:07 pm

Nirek, me too! My enthusiasm for Bernie hasn’t diminished at all.

HOWEVER. At some point the general election will come. If Hillary is the nominee, everyone needs to get on board.

» Posted By funksands On March 1, 2016 @ 3:05 pm

The Two Candidates That Really Need to Win in Iowa Tonight

Or not. lol

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 8:21 pm

8:09 pm

I think he’s got it.

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

KT, I think it is primarily party affiliation habit? They view her as the Democrat in the race? Name familiarity? Black voters especially supportive of the Clinton name and brand? Just educated guesses.

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 7:37 pm

Nationally hispanic and black voters prefer Hillary 2-1. It’s an issue.

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 7:16 pm

KT, Bernie polls really well with white voters and is struggling with non-white voters.

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 7:01 pm

I agree about Cruz, mostly agree about Bernie. I really think Cruz is dead if he doesn’t win Iowa, Bernie is in a tough tough spot regardless of whether he wins Iowa or not. Bernie does not have a good lineup of states coming down the road early on. Massachusetts March 1 is his next best shot, with 9 other contests going to Hillary in the meantime.

(besides NH obviously)

» Posted By funksands On February 1, 2016 @ 6:10 pm

Trump Sews a Swastika Onto The American Flag

Ad, all true all true.

I view Trump through a very slightly different lens.

He’s simply giving his supporters what they are telling him they want. That’s what a good salesman does. Does he mean it? Will it work? Is it right? Who cares. The people demand, he supplies.

» Posted By funksands On December 9, 2015 @ 11:30 am

Republican Governors Revel in Their Cowardice And Prejudice While Empowering ISIS

Ad, I think some people forget that the period of time that this type of inflammatory rhetoric was unacceptable is very very small. 40 years? 50 at the outside?

Our nation’s history is full of racism from the regular guy on the street all the up to the Presidency. It took a tremendous amount of effort, awareness, introspection and LEGISLATION to beat it back.

Like other battles we’ve won I think many people just assumed the war was won and that was that.

It doesn’t take much to crack the door wide enough for this evil to seep back in. Governors and Presidential candidates and their language go a long way to giving people permission to act on their baser instincts.

» Posted By funksands On November 24, 2015 @ 12:44 pm

Republicans rarely miss an opportunity to punch down.

The constant mantra drilled into the head of conservatives is:

1. What to be afraid of
2. Who to blame
3. It isn’t your fault

The Right Wing Entertainment Industrial Complex can’t miss an opportunity to reinforce this message with real-life examples.

» Posted By funksands On November 23, 2015 @ 3:51 pm

Hillary Covers Up Truth of Why Bill Clinton Signed DOMA

Ad, couldn’t agree with you more. I watched that interview and I think the words “f**king liar” came out of my mouth.

What most people (including me) had forgotten about the process to enact DOMA into law is that Congress didn’t call one federal agency representative to testify what this would do to federal benefits. Didn’t call 1 historian, 1 economist or any child welfare experts to testify about whether or not the bill was necessary or harmful.

Bill Clinton signed a bill that was passed after floor debate where Congressional Reps decried homosexuality as a perversion, a sin, immoral, depraved, dangerous and the death blow to the American Family. It was nastiness and bigotry codified into law.

Moments after reading your article, Rachel Maddow came on and gave commentary about that interview and to her credit stated that she was dubious about Hillary’s story. She followed that up with an interview with Bernie Sanders about his lonely vote against DOMA.

» Posted By funksands On October 26, 2015 @ 9:50 pm

Mike Huckabee Afflicted By Post Trumpatic Stress Disorder

All Barack Obama Did Was Follow Mike Huckabee’s Advice On Iran

“We cannot live with al Qaeda, but we might be able to live with a contained Iran. Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons on my watch. But before I look parents in the eye to explain why I put their son’s or daughter’s life at risk, I want to do everything possible to avoid conflict. We have substantive issues to discuss with Tehran.”

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 2008

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/mike-huckabee-iran-deal_55b652c5e4b0224d8832d032

Poor Mike, all your rational comments are going to come back and bite you in the ass as you are trying to get your full Trump-de-Dump on.

» Posted By funksands On July 27, 2015 @ 5:33 pm

How Genuine Are Hillary Clinton’s Attacks on Wall Street?

Choice, I was not necessarily referring to pre-meltdown activities, nor the Volker Rule which goes into effect just this very month, (which therefore has not been reducing any risk of any kind)

Nor was I referring to the untrue fact that what banks and people at those banks did pre-2007-8 wasn’t illegal per say.

Nor was I referring to the Justice Dept and SEC almost 100% of the time simply acting as fine extractors rather than enforcement divisions.

Rather I am referring to the actions of our justice dept in cases where clear and demonstrable fraud and crime of the most obvious and brazen led to no filing of charges against anyone nor any admission of wrongdoing.

I would forgive an earnest effort that found itself up against the best attorney a bank could buy, and simply could not obtain a conviction. In some of the greyer cases, facts likely would have emerged that what happened wasn’t illegal but simply unethical. But even in the most obvious case, that attempt was not made.

The HSBC case is simply the most absurd of the lot. Here is a bank that knowingly and aggressively laundered drug cartel and weapons trafficker money as a routine business model. They were caught red-handed helping North Korea and Iran avoid sanctions as well as laundering money for Al Queda and Hezbollah.

You couldn’t make up situation like this in fiction, yet it was very real?

The result?

A $1.9 Billion fine – This is equal to 5% of their annual profits
A program of oversight and monitoring, that they have nelglected to comply with. The head of that division was reassigned after not cooperating with the DOJ
A partial clawback of deferred compensation arrangements of executives at the firm

Why wasn’t anyone prosecuted? Because according to Lanny Bruer “HSBC would almost certainly have lost its banking license in the U.S., the future of the institution would have been under threat and the entire banking system would have been destabilized.” Which is utter nonsense.

Plenty of small fish are charged and convicted of money laundering all the time in the US, but not bankers and financiers at large institutions. They aren’t even charged.

Loretta Lynch ignored whistleblower documents exposing additional tax fraud by HSBC and signed off on the deferred prosecution deal.

Eric Holder said it best: “I am concerned that the size of some of these institutions becomes so large that it does become difficult for us to prosecute them when we are hit with indications that if we do prosecute – if we do bring a criminal charge – it will have a negative impact on the national economy, perhaps even the world economy. I think that is a function of the fact that some of these institutions have become too large.”

Now this (I think very honest and very telling) statement exposes many things on many levels.

Don’t even get me started on Credit Suisse and BNP Paribas.

Whether the kid gloves are a deliberate wholistic administrative approach to dealing with the powerful, yet ultimately fragile banking sector (my opinion) or simply a Justice Dept that feels it doesn’t have the firepower or will to tackle these behemoths (less likely) the end result is that individuals working at these firms have no fear of personal responsibility for their actions.

» Posted By funksands On July 14, 2015 @ 8:49 pm

SLM, have you been as surprised as I have at the level of vitriol already being exhibited by supporters of Bernie and Hillary? I am.

» Posted By funksands On July 13, 2015 @ 10:17 pm

Ad, I’m okay with that. Either she means what she is saying or she is forced to move her public positions leftward to appeal to the tone of the body of the party.

The longer she is forced to make that accommodation (if that is what it is) the more likely these positions end up in the platform, then end up in the general and end up as policy.

I’m very hopeful that Bernie can stay in the race for a significant period. If he can make it to just before the convention, I think that would be ideal.

I do believe that Hillary is for the most part Obama part 2. Fairly liberal on social issues, rather orthodox on economic issues (unfortunately) and rather conservative on international issues. There are differences, and one of them is that Hillary strikes me as more of a political animal. That can be advantageous in a political fight, disadvantageous in holding the line against the Huns in Congress.

» Posted By funksands On July 13, 2015 @ 10:16 pm

Ad, while she did come out and say that she wouldn’t be in favor of Glass-Steagall re-appearing during her term in office (disappointing to say the least), I was gratified to hear her say how she’d be more than willing to jail actual people that have committed crimes in TBTF institutions.

This would be a monumental improvement over the utterly shameful record of the Obama administration with regard to global financial criminal activity.

There are very very few black marks on the Obama report card, this is absolutely one of them.

Personally I would be pleasantly surprised, considering how cosy the Clintons are with the financial industry, but she definitely is saying things I want to hear!

» Posted By funksands On July 13, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

It Was the Best of Us…It Was the Worst of Us…

X, you Northerners probably did it with a lot less fanfare and hand-wringing as well. Thanks for the thumbs-up. This time I think we earned it! 🙂

» Posted By funksands On July 2, 2015 @ 9:27 pm

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