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Why a Biden Nomination is Likely to Elect a Republican President in 2024

For Trump to win again to cause maximum chaos in our society, political system, institutions and generally throughout the country. This whether he is or is not a Troll. The Russians want that to weaken the US. The Lefty political purists want that because they, similar to Bannon, are functional Leninists who believe in “heightening the contradictions.” They believe that because of the collapse from the chaos they cause they will be called on by the People to be the Vanguard to bring back Order. And thus they get to rule and impose what they would never be
allowed to do otherwise.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 6:23 pm

Maybe you should ask Mueller that.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 6:08 pm

And that is exactly what he wants given whom I think he likely is. As they say on CSI, there are NO coincidences.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 5:54 pm

It was very intentionally magnified by the massive Russian disinformation campaign and unfortunately way too many of the Bernie supporters were gullible and fell for it. This helped magnify it even more and gave us Trump. Expect at least the same this time as Mueller warned.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 5:52 pm

LOL…that increased interest comes from Murph’s efforts to get some of us old timers from very progressive Yabberz to come here when it closed down. But the old timers here are having a problem with at least one of us, it seems. One who had one of the highest up vote ranks of any non-Pundit there.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 5:35 pm

Absolutely agree. My only point is that we must beat Trump decisively not just beat him. We want him out. If it is close, he will not accept the outcome and then it may be up to a two-thirds vote in the Senate to remove him. Please consider that when thinking about this since the average of the polls for a long time have indicated that so far Biden is the only one who beats Trump decisively. They indicate that Warren is a borderline win at best and Bernie might be a win but not a decisive one. It’s early and thus can change. But the risks are just too high to go on a narrative, a wish and a hope. I want t see real decisive support from the voters in the numbers.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 5:20 pm

He of course can state his opinion and I can give my opinion of his opinion I would assume. Anyone whose opinion it is that we should vote third party because Biden is no different than Trump helps Trump. And it is my opinion that they are no better than Trumpites or Russian Trolls playing Trumpites.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 5:06 pm

Anything is possible. Warren is about where she was in the average of the RCP polls almost several weeks ago while Biden is up a few points.

See chart of RCP averages at:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

There is no question that a while ago Warren had strong momentum but it has been on hiatus for many weeks now at least in terms of who our voters say they will vote for in the Primaries.

But she sure is familiar in Massachusetts. Still the RCP polls show both Bernie and Biden, the two old White men, well ahead of her in her home state. Maybe familiarity is actually NOT Warren’s friend.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 4:59 pm

Yep, give credos to someone who has advocated voting a third party which will help keep Trump in for maybe life. Damn, will he get to determine the SCOTUS then. But then, he will be so entrenched as authoritarian ruler the SCOTUS will be superfluous. And again, Gabby is Putin’s choice as well. Real choice, not just a gaming choice like Bernie was to cause Clinton grief and help Trump. Generally, you can get the latest RT and Sputnik Party Line right from her without having to go to them. It’s spooky…and worrisome. Hope Biden doesn’t make the fatal mistake of picking her as his VP. From the last debate, she is clearly running to be his VP even though her politics are so very different.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 4:43 pm

You sure seem to have taken pride in how you opposed Clinton last time using methods outlined by US Intel, Congressional reports and noted by Mueller used by the Russian disinformation campaign to undermine Clinton and help Trump. They worked. And now you clearly stated you would do things that most everyone else here seems to think would help Trump yet again, like supporting a third party. And you make an argument that is never made by Trump supporters or Dems, that there is no difference between Biden and Trump. Overwhelming, the only places I’ve seen that are Russian propaganda outlets, bots and trolls. Oh, and a few Looney Toon Far Left sites.

My posts are public here as are tens of thousands under my same tag on Disqus. Figure it out for yourself.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 2:07 pm

Sure, and why you advocate things that would help keep Trump as Prez. As an aside, the only Dem candidate the Russian sites, bots and trolls openly and consistently support is Gabby. Last time they focused on helping Bernie in the Dem Primaries. And are doing similar less openly supportive things today. So if I’m wrong and you are not a Putin Troll, Lenin was correct.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 1:48 pm

Some one seems to have removed my cold wind from Siberia post. Oh, well.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 8:56 am

What’s that supposed to mean?

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 8:49 am

Yep to most of the first part of your post. But on the last part, for some strange reason, our non-White, Jewish and White Catholic voters like Biden why more than any of the other top candidates and especially better than Warren. Go figure…

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 10:36 pm

But there are ruminations that Biden may only run for one term. That his prime goal is to remove Trump and offer the bulk of the voters what they want most, a rest from all the incessant excitement generated by the Drama Queen, Infant Terrible in the White House. And Biden has said he will have a really great VP, indicating most likely a younger progressive non-White women, who would be in a great position for 2024 AND 2028. So best to vote for Biden to both get Trump out and have Dems in the White House through 2032. Nice counter narrative.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 10:16 pm

Whenever anyone on the Net comparing Trump and Biden says Twiddledum and Twiddledee, and suggests voting third party or not voting at all, I wonder how’s the weather in Moscow.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 9:26 pm

The Safe Bet Of An Old White Guy To Beat Trump in 2020

All the Dem candidates are sure they can beat Trump. So maybe we should drop the Dem Primary and have them all become Republicans and run against him in the Republican Primaries. My surprise is how few Blacks seem to support Harris and Booker. But then again, few Jewish voters support Bernie. I haven’t checked on the Asian support for Yang or the Native American support for Warren.

For what it’s worth, with the exception of Bernie, Biden is ahead in the average of the RCP polls in the home states of all the other Dem candidates. This kind of undermines the narrative that his support is only because of greater name recognition.

The argument that the trillions a year in new taxes to pay for the elimination of private health insurance with a Federal health insurance monopoly will make no difference to the public since they would no longer have to pay private insurance premiums will go over politically like saying raising trillions in new taxes to pay for free food for everyone is fine since the public would no longer have to buy food. The new Federal Government food monopoly will provide everyone’s food free based on its determination of their needs. Hey, this is the only reasonable way to do it since so many people are hungry and those evil private food corporations make too much profit.

My guess is you have supplemental health insurance with your Medicare to cover the 20% not covered. That means you have private health insurance in a system that is NOT Single Payer and is NOT administered by a single Federal agency but by a big bad old private corporate insurance company.

Biden supports Universal Health that does not replace the private insurance industry with a gigantic new Federal Monopoly in DC. It builds on ObamaCare with a Public Option. It will need new taxes but only a tenth as much as Bernie’s and Warren’s Single Payer.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 23, 2019 @ 8:41 am

Well, until you look at the primary/caucus lineup. Right after Iowa comes NH, yet another small near lily White State in no way representative of our diverse Party. Then soon after come Nevada and South Carolina way more strongly representative of our two major non-White voter groups, Hispanics and Blacks. Biden is extremely strong in those two diverse states. Then comes Super Tuesday with 14 states, half Southern with major proportions of Black voters who really like Biden way more than any other candidate. Still, three other states on that day are home states for top candidates and are generally considered must wins for them, Harris in California, Warren in Massachusetts and Sanders in Vermont (well, there is Beto’s Texas but he is not a top candidate). Little question Sanders will take Vermont. Very close race in California for Harris. So far, not looking good for Warren in Massachusetts.

Among these first 18 states, the most important will not be little near lily White Iowa but really big diverse California. Iowa and NH will not be the bell weathers for California, Nevada and South Carolina will be more that, especially neighboring Nevada with its large Hispanic population. If Biden holds his dominance among non-White voters he has a very good chance of taking California. He does that, and it’s hard to see how he doesn’t get the Nomination.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 11:50 pm

Damn, me too even if that old White guy is old Trot Bernie, God forbid…

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 11:42 am

Biden Takes on Trump: A Call to Integrity and Courage in The Wave of Two Mass Shootings

Damn, you’re the first one in ages I’ve come across who’s a grammar and spelling N@zi and not also a Putz Putin the Poisoner Troll. Congratulations. You try using an iPhone with AutoSpell for rapid posting without editing and see how you do. Anyway, Murph has one of my professional CV’s and as he knows after years on Yabberz and before, on things like that I don’t lie though I may hedge a bit to protect my identity. You can also ask him about me and 8Chan now that you mention it. Well, enough fun for now. Bye-bye…for now…

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 1:16 am

If you seriously mean that then the only license you have is a driver’s license.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 12:29 am

Well, then say what you mean. You sure as hell expressed it as somehow taking credit for your husband without making any connection to yourself other than being his wife. And obviously I don’t have a generic little woman attitude given what I offered about my wife. And if I stick around here you will also see me bringing in my in-house attorney’s opinion as someone credentialed in opposition to those here practicing law without a license. Actually, that one Yabberz old friend that I had a run-in with here a few times fell into just that situation making legal and Constitutional arguments back at Yabberz that I countered based on my in-house attorney’s opinion. He didn’t appreciated it much. But nevertheless we agree on most things.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 12:23 am

LOL…that only works when those reading what is written don’t have an arrogantly closed mind thinking they know what they don’t know. Do note, in most all AdLib’s responses he challenged my statements that were based on my professional
credentials and experience with data and stats. More, he even accused me of lying and using false data. Kind of insulting especially coming from someone with no professional credentials and experience. Again, I agreed to tone it down if others did the same. I guess AdLib just feels the need to piss on posts around here. And he thinks numbers are his turf.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 22, 2019 @ 12:08 am

LOL…did you just tell a New York Jew what Mensch means? Are you bonkers? Damn, you do need to sleep on that. However, in this context the Yiddish term that does pop to my New York mind is more Schmuck than Mensch.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 11:52 pm

Well, I might be impressed if you where world famous in a field you commented on here, not your husband. I don’t say my wife was world famous in these matters. However, she is quite an experienced attorney and I will ask her about legal and Constitutional issues that I see here and elsewhere. And I will take her opinion on these over mine and of the non-attorneys around here and elsewhere. But that’s just me. I’m old fashion. I actually believe some people are more knowledgeable because they have lots of experience and credentials. I value teaching and education. Done a great deal of it. I know, some folk don’t value that much.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 11:40 pm

Yep, way back then and I did as requested until AdLib felt an irresistible compulsion to attack and insult yet again.

As an aside, I’ve only interacted with five people from Yabberz and I know for a fact that four would disagree with your claim. So that leaves one and we generally have agreed but have a friendly history of disagreeing, sometimes intensely.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 11:22 pm

LOL…that’s obvious…

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 11:14 pm

Nahhhhhhhh…but you answered the question. You are practicing without a license which is why you are mostly wrong, as it is with AdLib on this. I even offered to help educate him a bit but he seems to like self-homeschooling. Now pseudo-psychology is not my field so can’t help you there.

If you guys would like to continue this, I’m game while I still have the time relaxing from more important and challenging things.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 11:13 pm

Some non-New Yorkers have a weird view of what Mensch means.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 10:42 pm

Being called a Republican is down right insulting! Being accused of lying is usually considered insulting when the accuser is wrong, as you were. Being accused of not knowing numbers by an amateur when I was at the top of my field making a very good living using numbers is beyond insulting. It is plain silly. And the list goes on and on. I said I would tone it down. And I did until you decided to be your old arrogant, insulting self again. So please learn to behave so I don’t go back at you.

» Posted By Jake321 On August 21, 2019 @ 10:38 pm