What if Mitt Romney was actually elected President, how might America be transformed?
Based on the statements he has made and his pandering allegiance to the right wing extremists in his party, one can reasonably extrapolate out what policies and laws Romney would support and approve.
To begin, it is conceivable that the GOP could retain the House and win over the Senate. It’s also conceivable that having seen how effective their use of the filibuster was against Obama, Senate Republicans could pass rules limiting the use of it by Democrats.
In such an admittedly hypothetical scenario, the damage to the American society and democracy we have come to know could be severe and long term, with numerous permanent aspects.
The End of Medicare as an Entitlement
The Ryan Plan, which Romney heartily supports, transforms Medicare from being an entitlement into a partial subsidy for buying health insurance. Thus, Americans would no longer be entitled to health insurance when they grew older. This would have a profound and devastating impact on tens of millions of seniors and society in general.
The amount a senior would received from Medicare, as a Ryan-type subsidy program, would be insufficient to fully pay for corporate insurance premiums. At current rates, seniors would have to pay an additional $6,000 a year to have basic medical insurance that would give them less coverage than they receive now between Medicare and Part B. As time goes by, that gap and the percentage of their premium they will have to pay will grow, requiring them to pay $10,000 annually, then $20,000 and on and on until more and more are priced out of being able to afford health insurance. The CBO estimates that by 2030, under the Ryan plan, 65 year olds would be required to pay 68% of the total cost of their coverage, which includes premiums, deductibles, and other out-of-pocket costs. That compares with the 25 percent they would pay under current law.
And if seniors can’t afford to pay that growing amount of their premium that their subsidy doesn’t cover? They don’t get partial insurance, they get none. No health insurance. End of story. There are around 40 million senior citizens, many of whom live on a very limited budget with Social Security as their primary income (more on this below) and simply can’t afford this additional expense. The numbers of uninsured senior citizens will grow and one result will be that millions of Americans will die younger as part of this Romney/GOP plan to make the wealthy wealthier.
Ryan and the GOP have cynically played the selfish card on seniors to win their support, assuring them that their changes to Medicare wouldn’t affect them, just their children and grandchildren. In other words, we assume you’re greedy and selfish like us so as long as you get yours, screw the rest of your family. Fortunately, the push back by seniors after Ryan’s first proposed budget reflected that even elderly parents care about the welfare of their children and grandchildren. However, with Romney in the White House and Republican control of Congress, there may be no stopping such a drastic change.
So in addition to the shocking precedent of shrinking lifespans in a modern, industrialized nation, how else might our society be affected by having tens of millions of seniors unable to afford health insurance?
Emergency rooms would likely become increasingly congested with the millions of elderly who don’t have insurance. Since they would not have been treated regularly, many will have more severe conditions, requiring more time and resources at emergency rooms. This will severely tax the already burdened emergency room system, financially and staff-wise, eventually past the point of their capabilities. In such an environment, what kind of care, resources and attention will those without insurance, who only have the emergency room for treatment, receive? And what about people who are brought to an emergency room due to a car accident or severe illness? How quickly will they be able to receive care when many other patients are ahead of them with just as urgent life-threatening conditions?
What happens when the ranks of the uninsured swell towards one third of the nation’s population? When emergency rooms and hospitals have waiting times that double and triple? Or after hospitals close from being bankrupted by their unpaid emergency room costs that multiply? When the resulting domino effect is created that overloads and bankrupts other emergency rooms?
And add to that the cost to society of the potential for mass outbreaks of illnesses and diseases that result from so many Americans not having regular medical care.
This viable scenario would devastate our society.
The End of Social Security as an Entitlement
There was a time in our past when people who worked their whole lives would get too old and/or ill to keep a job and live out the remainder of their lives as desperate and indigent. Some might bring a financial burden on their children, others might be reduced to a horrible life of squalor. To most Americans, that would seem like a tragedy of the past but for Mitt Romney and the GOP, they welcome our returning to those times.
The reason for their wanting to privatize Social Security is obvious. They want to take the over $2.6 trillion in the Social Security trust fund out of government hands and pour it into Wall Street coffers where it can be sucked away by them in part or in whole.
We all know what can happen to the majority’s money when Wall Street has their hands on it. As bad as it has been, imagine what would have happened in the midst of the 2008 economic crash if the 40 million senior citizens who rely primarily on Social Security to pay their monthly expenses and Medicare Part B insurance, had that money in the stock market instead of Social Security. What kind of hell would America be with the majority of seniors unable to pay for a roof over their head, food, health insurance and medicine (add the privatizing of Medicare into the mix and you multiply the disaster)?
This massive economic crash would have been made exponentially worse if seniors had all of their Social Security money in the market and in a crisis, they had to sell their stocks for whatever they could get. Add to that, the steep loss of seniors’ spending that would result and further deepen an economic disaster (which of course didn’t occur and helped the economy in this recent case, thanks to Social Security being as it is).
The depth of such a depression that would result from seniors losing everything because their Social Security was in the stock market could dwarf the original Depression and fully climbing out under such a rigged system might not even be possible.
How can we choose to have 99% of our elderly vulnerable to losing their home, food and health insurance when the market has its next crash?
That is of no concern to Mitt Romney and the GOP. Though many of them inherited their wealth and advantage in society as Romney did, they will give lip service to “the dignity of self determination” while actually working to take away the security and independence of the elderly because it interferes with the wealthy achieving greater wealth.
The Destruction of Democracy, the Middle Class and an Inclusive Economy
It is a cornerstone of the modern GOP to continue down the path of cutting taxes for the wealthy and gutting services for the poor and the rest of the 99% of Americans who aren’t wealthy. The overall scheme includes keeping downward pressure on salaries, limiting economic mobility and gaming the system to maximize the accumulation of wealth for the top 1% by taking it from the bottom 99%. Along with this is the perversion of our democracy into a plutocracy, where those with money control elections and use their advertising and marketing expertise to sell the public on voting for “products” that will, in the end, serve only the wealthy.
The ideal America for Romney and his Republican colleagues is one where the wealthy freely buy the White House and Congress that best serves them, reroute the tax revenues from social programs into their pockets, remove all regulations that prevent them from polluting, economic fraud and harming the public if preventing it interferes with greater profits.
Their America has only two classes, the wealthy and workers. The middle class is already shrinking and hastening this is part of the scheme. Attacking unions (which created the Middle Class), job protections, rights and through off shoring, depressing the salary value of American workers.
In 2000, corporate America was already off shoring jobs at a fast clip, sharply reducing the number of jobs it had in the US. When the economic crash of 2008 hit, it just accelerated the off shoring.
These are jobs that are lost forever and are never coming back…unless American wages drop down to being more competitive with third world wages. The whole Free Trade scam was presented as something that would bring up wages around the world and add more jobs in the US due to exports. In fact, it was designed to do just the opposite, to slash labor costs for corporations and put severe downward pressure on workers’ wages in the US. And it has worked well.
The Romney/GOP agenda is to seal the deal on America as a plutocracy, a country of the wealthy, for the wealthy and by the wealthy. They have drilled Orwellian terms into the minds of Americans, deeming the greedy as benevolent “Job Creators” even though all evidence proves that they are willfully not creating high paid jobs in America (the job growth in the public sector has been coming primarily from small businesses).
Romney is running on being wealthy, that is his central platform, “I made a lot of money so that means I’m a good businessman and would make a good President.” Donald Trump flirted with running for President for the same reason, because they define wealth as success. So the reverse would be true, those like Romney view those who aren’t wealthy as failures and lesser people. Thus, it is not so bewildering to see how Romney stumbles around regular Americans like a king trying to pander to those he sees more like odd human-like animals than people like him.
So the concept of the majority’s purpose being that of serving Romney and his ilk is a mentality they already possess. For them, empathy for most Americans just doesn’t compute. With such a President, the depth of exploitation and oppression of the majority would have no limit, there would not be a conscience to say, “That policy would hurt too many people’s lives,” so even if he does it merely to benefit his fellow elitists and isn’t motivated by harming others, he could be capable of subjecting the American people to damaging things and being as oblivious of its impact as he is of how his constant gaffes are perceived.
A President Romney would be in a position to appoint perhaps two or more Supreme Court justices which could cement a right wing SCOTUS for generations. The lasting damage from the last dozen years of Gore v. Bush, Citizens United, etc. is already profound but another thirty to forty years of such pro-corporate, anti-democratic decisions could permanently cast the nation in the image of the wealthy and the majority of Americans as powerless, second class citizens.
War and Conflict That Destroys Our Future
America is pretty war weary. We’re getting out of Iraq, we’re slowly getting out of Afghanistan but trillions of dollars and precious lives have already been lost and continue to be. Americans want it to be over.
To that, Mitt Romney says, “My party’s core says, ‘Screw that! War rocks!’ so I do too!”
Romney has absolutely no foreign affairs experience or education so he merely adopts the stances of those in the Republican right wing he panders to and has hired as consultants. And they profit from the military industry. So, war with Iran sounds good to them. Hostility towards China and calling Russia our enemy, that’s good for business.
If not influenced by others, Romney doesn’t seem like the war mongering type but being greedy and self-serving, Romney would take any position if it benefited him. And threatening war with one country after another yields a gold mine of campaign donations.
What would happen if the US started a war with Iran? Even if it was just air strikes, it could create a hostile backlash against the US around the world while miring us in a very complicated war we could never win, using an already overused and depleted military that could deteriorate as a whole.
What would happen to gas prices and oil prices in this fragile economy, if the Straight of Hormuz became a war zone? How would it affect inflation and jobs in this country if the price of gas went up towards $10 per gallon?
Yes, Romney and the GOP exude hypocrisy when attacking Obama on gas prices while whipping up support for war with Iran but it would be naive to think they wouldn’t be just fine with energy costs skyrocketing…along with revenues for oil companies…who are the top GOP sponsors anyway.
Our remarkable volunteer army has been stretched thin in two simultaneous wars over the last ten years and another war could require more soldiers than we have able to serve. By creating a growing lower class of unemployed and economically excluded people, they have created a great ongoing supply of cannon fodder for their eternal wars-for-profit, draining our nation of blood and treasure.
The Ryan budget and Romney’s budget greatly increase military spending while insisting on reducing the deficit and balancing budgets so there is no alternative but for ongoing war to be financed by degrading America’s social and physical infrastructure even more than it has been and it is already past the point of sustainability.
At the same time, their insistence on cutting taxes paid by the wealthy will transfer that loss of revenue from social programs to the wealthy, adding a greater hacking away at social programs on top of what would already be occurring.
Conclusion
A Romney Presidency, especially when coupled with a Republican Congress could be a profound and devastating blow to the future of this nation. This is not because Romney is a worse person than other GOP candidates (GW Bush can’t be argued to be better) but because America is at a tipping point in so many ways that each Presidential term during this period is make or break.
Had President Obama made disastrous decisions after taking office, never passing a stimulus bill, agreeing to drastic slashing of Medicare and Social Security with no revenue increases, we could have tumbled down into an economic depression beyond what we could have imagined.
If Romney is enabled to tear apart Medicare and Social Security, lock in a pro-corporate SCOTUS for 30 years, cement plutocracy and economic injustice into place and be the vehicle for legally oppressing minorities and women in America, it would be hard to imagine ever fully reversing the damage to the nation.
These are the concrete kind of considerations that should be discussed on the MSM instead of “scandals” like President Obama not literally saying that he supports gay marriage or puff pieces on how Ann Romney helps “humanize” Romney.
There are serious and powerful issues at stake right now, we can’t afford to be distracted by the trivia of the horse race and gotcha games in the media.
We need to have the public discussing what really matters and what country America is going to be in reality, not just in mindless nationalistic blather.
There might not be a more important election in our lifetimes than the one we will have in November. The value of keeping that in mind and impressing that on others can’t be understated.
Another nice thing we could look forward to in a Romney administration is the psychological effect that his “rich = successful = good” pitch would have on the rest of society. Do we want a president whose message to 99 per cent of the country is that because we are not rich, that we are what? Losers? Failures? Undeserving of government support? Of jobs? Of education that we can no longer afford, or even trust that it will help us in the long run?
I don’t.
Gives a whole new spin on the term “class warfare.”
Adlib
This sounds like a manifesto and why not? You have made some excellent points and we need to get back to basics. We need to relive the 60’s, the 1890s some of the other eras where the people rose up against the robber barons, the establishment etc. I think we are at our best when we are standing up to what is wrong but for sure it is not going to happen in our living rooms, in our bedrooms, in our cars on the way to work.
The people need to fight back and I know I talk a good game but I am frustrated as to how to wake them the fuck up as I am sure you are as well. I just wrote a piece here on the right and CNP and I know for one, Bourne had no idea how the right has been building their army. Personally I think if Mittens wins there is going to be a theocratic battle because while the right will tolerate Mormons as they all have the same hatred for Islam, the right in no way thinks Mormons should be in the driver’s seat. Look for the VP pick. I may be over reacting but the people who wanted to got rid of Kennedy and they did it all by blaming some poor sucker who was dazzled by Cuba and the Soviet Union. My husband and I are looking for a house that we pay cash for so no one can take it away. Better to have a home than to have my money where Wall Street can fuck it away. That is how unsure I feel about the future of our country. If my kids were willing, we would be making plans right now to move to Panama or South America.
Sue, I do think that once Obama truly engages Romney on his agenda and that of the Repubs, the resulting class warfare battle should become inescapable for all Americans.
Those of us who are already engaged and know that the fate of our democracy and stability is provably at stake in this election are well aware of this.
Many who don’t really follow politics except in the months before an election, and that’s a lot of people, should discover what’s going on if they have a tv or internet connection.
Whether they fully engage in a long term push back, in a movement to protect and enhance protections for Americans as citizens and workers, is not certain but I do think that the atmosphere will be created for that to potentially happen.
We do indeed need a people’s movement that steamrollers over the corporate plutocracy but as I mention often, corporations owning the media gives them a great deal of power to distract and divert people from ever coming together.
I’d propose that one of the keys to such a movement…is getting people not to watch news on their TV and instead get on the web to find some trustworthy sites for news and info.
We can’t take the media out of the corporate hands but we can take ourselves out of the corporate media.
AdLib As a Canadian..and first time poster here…I say Bravo! You have presented what should be a frightening scenario for all Americans – indeed for the world. But, how are they to know the fate facing them when they go to the polls this November? The MSM is certainly doing all they can to confuse and mislead the public as to the consequences of a Republican controlled Washington. Watching Joe Scarboro this morning, for a few minutes, (couldn’t stand his arrogance and manipulation of the truth while talking to Pat Toomey) only solidified my belief that the battle President Obama is facing
will be unprecedented in American political history. How does the message get out…your message…the Democratic message? It seems the Republicans have a monopoly on messaging… of reaching the people much more effectively. That is my concern as I follow the machinations of American politics – that the Democratic message will
not get out.
I post on an online newspaper to express my concerns, and to defend
President Obama’s efforts to right the ship, so to speak. But, it means little in the overall scheme of things. I have been following your posts for only a short time, but I recognize the importance of your words and wish others could be made aware of them.
Thanks for taking the time to read my ramble. Keep up the good work.
Welcome leafs fan. I’m a huge hockey fan myself but my team is the Devils since I’m from NJ.
You are spot on. Between the right wing media and corporate media Obama is up against it. There are just too many people in this country that can’t be critical thinkers because they don’t care to are too busy with their lives.
Morning,KQuark,
Thank you for your welcome! And thank you for not making a dig at my beloved Leafs. (which happens all to often, I am afraid) LOL! Congratulations, on your win last night. Great hockey.
Hopefully people will begin to pay more attention to what is going on, KQ…SOON! Time waits for no man ( or woman).They need to make assessments of the issues and cannot do that at the last minute.
Cheers it was a great game. All tied up at 1-1 anything can happen now. I actually like the Leafs. It’s just not right that they are not at least a perennial playoff team because they have such avid fans. They just need a long term plan instead of trying to do one year fixes. Hmmmm… sounds allot like the reactionary GOP.
May I add another “Welcome to the Planet,” goleafsgo? Hope to see much more of you here.
The Repubs do seem to have a near lock on the MSM, don’t they? I think we have to hope that more and more Americans are figuring out the fact that the MSM cannot be relied upon. Not solely, anyway. Social media and online newspapers, YouTube and blogging sites have to correct the corporate driven spin that cable and print put out daily. FOX is especially pernicious.
It’s always heartening to hear from our Canadian friends — who generally seem to know much more about our politics than we do about theirs. Or even about our own!
kesmarn, Thank you for the welcome! Your politics are much more lively,exciting, and more meaningful (at the moment) than ours. I think since the horrific event of 911 and the subsequent wars, Canadians, and indeed the entire world, has become more focused on the events in America. President Obama has caught our attention, and for the most part, we like what we see, and hope to see him re-elected. It is imperative for America as well as Canada because we have a Prime Minister who would love to partner with Mitt Romney and the Republican Party. As a Queen once said…”We are not amused!”
go leafs go
I read a speech that Stephen Harper gave to the CNP here in the US, it sounds to me like he is manipulating your country in the same direction. Not sure what goes on up there but I was shocked at how little regard he showed for the Canadian people in his speech. If I can find it again, I will post it here for you.
It was surprisingly easy to find. This speech did not give me a lot of faith in Harper as the PM now. He gave this speech when he was vice-president of the National Citizens Coalition
http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/SpecialEvent7/20051213/elxn_harper_speech_text_051214/
SueInCa,
Thank you so much for the link. This man is arrogant, slimy, and someone for all Canadians to be fearful of, as evidenced in this speech and his actions since becoming Prime Minister. It is hoped that he, and those of his ilk, will be gone in the next election. Our political environment is in a bit of turmoil at the moment, but I think, from the reactions of many Canadians to Mr. Harper’s King-like attitude, and sneering disdain for those who do not agree with his policies (especially for the NDP who just lost their beloved leader, Jack Layton) we are ready to turf this guy out. He, like the extremists in the Republican Party,wants to take us down a path to destruction and we will resist. There is much talk of a merger between the NDP and the Liberal Party. Much to happen yet.
Have a great day Sue.
Thanks for the kind words, goleafsgo, and welcome to The Planet!
At this point in time, the situation is most concerning and frustrating. The Obama campaign hasn’t officially begun and the Dem PACS and SuperPACS are likely holding their money back until after Memorial Day.
So in the meantime, the RW which has a huge financial advantage in money, is using it to manipulate the minds of the public.
My belief is that the short attention span of many Americans is finally a plus, in this case. Though Romney and the Repubs may benefit from their unilateral push (aside from Obama’s publicized speeches) in the near term, I think the push back that will be well in evidence after this month will help to combat their propaganda.
Now is a time where we have to hold our breaths and hold our noses, as Romney and the RW shovel out their BS unabated. And of course, hope that the hammering on what Repubs and their agenda will mean in destroying this country will hit home with most voters in the run up to November.
Once again, pleased to have you on The Planet!
There are trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars at stake. Its so quaint that people think that the democratic process, their grandmother’s SS check, and their job is going to be allowed to stand in the way of the GOP looting.
So true funk but the irony about that is businesses get more trillions with Democratic policies not GOP policies. Only a relatively few big industries do well with Republicans. Under bush a net 65,000 private sector jobs were lost and 1.7 guvment jobs were made while we see under Obama almost the opposite.
KQ, absolutely! But looters don’t. Looters innovate through legislation and lobbying and cronyism.
Dem Presidents have presided over:
Better job growth
Lower deficits and debt
Better market performance
Lower poverty rates
Smaller government
They also tend to favor policies that favor the middle class, which are garlic to the looter kleptocrats.
Ad, the worst part of a Romney presidency would involve my wife leaving the country. She will not, I repeat, will not live in a country where a bishop and priesthood holder is the President. I keep probing to see whether this is hyperbole, but she is grimly serious.
Romney may or may not agree to and be able to enact the above. However, in Romney, the GOP feeders finally have the guy they need that without remorse, conscience, or pause will gladly slip the shiv into whoever they order him to.
All the while he’ll pander to the Americans that have bought the argument that we can have everything our nation needs if we just grow our economy. It doesn’t matter what tax rates are, it doesn’t matter what regulations we have, it doesn’t matter what precedence the courts overturn, it won’t matter that there is no safety net anymore.
When we don’t pay taxes, our government no longer feels accountable to us. And when we don’t pay our taxes, the government borrows to pay the bills. And when that happens we don’t care, because it isn’t our money. That’s the perfect environment for a kleptocracy, with Captain Willard Klepto at the helm.
The GOP is done fucking around, and a Romney nomination is just another sign of that.
We can rant all we want AdLib but somethings working for Romney. Even though he pretty much disqualified himself to be POTUS with his lies and lack of integrity there are so many clueless and hateful Americans out there that we have a good chance of seeing president Romney. See he looks the part much better than the current POTUS.
As scary as that thought is, KQ, there’s something to be said for taking it very seriously.
Because that’s just how closely entertainment, superficiality and politics are intertwined in 21st century American politics.
Besides his central-casting appearance, Romney — and I know how weird this is going to sound — also has his soothing announcer-voice going for him. Soporific. And we ‘Murricans do love our soothing drugs.
Kes, we should absolutely take seriously that most corporations and Wall Street, the elite 1% who often get the candidates they want in power and may spend $1 billion this year to do it, are a real threat.
Still, I would argue that Romney’s game show host demeanor and disconnect with real people doesn’t come off as attractive to people. He comes off as a phony and people get that…even Republicans get it, they may hope their lame candidate wins for the sake of removing Obama but most Baggers and many in the base see him as a fraud and not an ideal President.
One small anecdotal instance did give me some comfort, AdLib. A die-hard Repub who is among my Facebook contacts, said that he is a real turn-off to her, and she used just the word you did: phony. I was surprised and encouraged. I hope she speaks for millions of Repubs.
In this rare instance, I don’t agree with you, KQ. Just look at the polls when it comes to likeability and trust, people don’t like Romney and don’t trust him. Most polls about voting are highly inaccurate this far from an election but such high negatives for a candidate, that have only grown the more people see of him, isn’t going to change so much. Some people may be telling polls they’d vote for Romney out of resentment that the economy is still hurting them but once the GE is at full speed and Romney’s plans to go back to destructive Bush budget policies are hammered for the public in ads, debates and campaigns, I see Romney’s numbers permanently dropping below viably beating Obama.
We absolutely should not be overconfident about Obama beating Romney, with all the money backing lies and ads to get Romney elected by slandering Obama, we will have to work hard but I remain confident that Romney will look worse and worse as a potential President, the more Americans see him and hear him…and I would bet that the debates with Obama will cement Romney as unpresidential.
I just have much less faith in the American electorate than you AdLib, especially with the so called independents. In the latest CBS polls Romney wins women by 2% WTF?! I know the fundamentals don’t look good for Romney but some of those are turning around as well. People have short memories and if the MSM and right wing gets their way Obama’s odds of reelection are 50-50 at best. Sure it’s not over but the trends are not good.
Most importantly I look also look at the trends like minority voter registration being down and all the new laws to make voter registration harder, especially in swing states like FL.
When you see things like Warren behind in MA and Walker ahead by 5 points in WI all I can say is people have not learned their lessons about the GOP and never will with their deafening sound machine.
I’m glad you brought up the debates because they could be a trap for Obama to rely on them because expectations will all be on Obama’s side. What happens if he’s not as good as people expect? You know the media will be all over him like they were with Al Gore. Frankly the good thing about the GOP primaries were Romney was able to practice in debates over and over.
As far as the debates go, what does Romney reaaly have going for him. He is an empty suit and relies mostly on dishonest claims about Obama, that he won’t get away with in these debates. It’s hard for bullshit to pass in presidential debates. I think the fact checking will be on a deeper level than in the primaries. Plus, I do think that many people will judge for themselves by what they see and hear, not on what spin is put out there. I do think a lot of Americans are getting fed up with all the spin machines we have going, 24/7. I know I find it insulting when these talking heads try to explain to me what I have just seen with my own eyes and heard with my own ears. I have no doubt that this applies to millions of Americans too. No amount of spin can fill an empty suit.
KT, I’m not sure he can’t get away with lies in a debate. If the moderator doesn’t challenge or give Obama the time to address the lie–on to the next question–then the lie can stand unchallenged. What I want to see is an Obama moment that says “There you go again Mitt”; or, “You, sir, are no Ronald Reagan”
The Democratic stand on principle will not work with this wily group of crooks. I do think Obama may be the only elected democrat smart enough to fight.
KQ, you are not alone in your lack of faith in the American electorate. I am with you on that. It has surprised me too many times to not be concerned with this election. When I heard that Walker was 5 points ahead in WI and that 39% of the Union households were for Walker, it took my breath away. I fear that should Walker win this re-call, it will add to the discouragement of those on the down slope of the economy. It will appear that the money will always win out. It may not be so but to many it will appear so. Will they go out and vote? Although I have faith in Obama being able to handle himself in a debate, I have little faith in the debates themselves. What will be the questions? Will they be of any substantive information? Fact checking comes after the debates and many don’t listen but only to the debates themselves. Right now I am concerned but not yet worried. However, fear might be around the corner in the next couple of months. (The primary vote in Oregon this week was at 32% and the Repugs had 10% more show. This was very low for our mail in votes. Oregon is usually goes blue.)
Sally, right with you on all your points. The Walker thing really discourages me, especially since it looks like the DNCC won’t provide $$$ to fight Walker–and yet they found a few mil to give to Ben Nelson’s failed blue dog, hate the Pres campaign.
FC, I know, what is wrong with the DNC not helping in WI?!? That is just stupid to me. And, I thought that damn TeaParty was dead. Hell, haven’t they used that teabag enough already?
KQ, I agree with you: a lot of WTF going on. Why is MA going with Scott? Why is the Dem party abandoning the fight in WI against Walker, against unions? Those good folk have worked very, very hard in freezing weather, now to be forgotten! And the “expectations game” was so low for Goerge that he could walk in with a walkie-talkie strapped to his back and get away with it; Obama, the celebrity needs to make truth and, often, the debate format confounds that.
As so many in the MSM have said: we want a close, contentious run for November. They don’t want news, they don’t want Obama, they don’t care about Mitt, they don’t care about us.
Another day another poll with a different question asked to a different sampling.
Americans See Obama as Solid Favorite to Win Election
Fifty-six percent think Obama will win; 36% think Romney will
http://www.gallup.com/poll/154670/Americans-See-Obama-Solid-Favorite-Win-Election.aspx
I am getting a bit weary of polls and just assume that it is 50-50. Too many polls with different methodology, questions and sampling to make any comparison. The main thing for Dems, as usual, will be GOTV!
[img]http://www.gallup.com/poll/154670/Americans-See-Obama-Solid-Favorite-Win-Election.aspx[/img]
Dems Happier With Obama Than Republicans Are With Romney
Eight in 10 Democrats satisfied with their nominee vs. 59% of Republicans
Bito, these are the kinds of polls that I think are more reflective of the electorate than head to head polls.
Americans like voting for winners. As silly as this sounds, some people will vote for Obama just because they think he comes off as more of a winner than Romney.
Such polls also reflect strong positive feelings by voters for Obama and not for Romney.
Yes, the Repub base will be just as motivated to get the black man out of the White House as they would’ve been with a Bagger candidate but for indies, who decide the election, a lack of enthusiasm for Romney and strong enthusiasm for Obama will translate into a GOTV for indies that favors Dems over Repubs.
I’m not saying it won’t be close, with the potential of a billion dollars being spent by corps to buy the presidency and all of the voter suppression tactics in play, it will be much closer than it should be but in the end, I do think that people liking Obama more than ROmney, all other issues aside, will make a difference in turnout that head to head polls just can’t reflect.
KQ, I really think that all these head-to-head polls so far away from Nov are meaningless so I’m not as concerned by them.
My focus is on the trends in people’s perceptions and favorable views of politicians and in those respects, Obama is well ahead.
The RW has had a whole primary process to hammer Obama with lies. Romney, Rove and the Kochs have been cranking out the BS propaganda non-stop with little balance from the left.
All this will change in June and moving forward and as it does, I think the majority of the American people will solidify behind Obama.
Right now though, the RW BS has been pounding on the public to hate Obama because the economy is bad. Once enough money has been spent by Obama and Dems in driving home that it was Bush economics that caused this and that Romney’s plan is Bush economics on steroids while gutting the social safety net, the fear factor will go against Repuns (for a change).
Maybe I am a bit optimistic about Americans not being brainwashed into putting a noose around their own necks then pulling the lever for the trap door but I also have faith in the trait of self-preservation kicking in sometimes to override naivete and stupidity.
Hmm…maybe I am an optimist!
Ad, if every field was level, if the ground did not shift, if there were no mirrors, if lies were not presented and accepted as truth, I would agree with you. I could not conceive Obama not being reelected, but I can easily conceive a lot of awfulness–rotten, lying, scoundrel awfulness.
KQ
It’s the economy, stupid. And no I am not calling you stupid just repeating what Clinton figured out in 92 and used as a campaign slogan. People are still losing their homes, I know because I am househunting and the number of foreclosures are ridiculous. Even some of the homes you would think the people could maintain(foreclosure sale price is 40k), people are losing. Jobs have never come back with decent salaries and people think romney can change it apparently. You and I know he will do no such thing but we are only two people.
Of course the polls only really matter in the latter part of October. alot can happen between now and then. We saw it in 2008.
Absolutely I guess except if you have a bunch of money like Scott Walker does in WI. His state has added less jobs than almost any and he is winning.
The GOP just knows how to muck it up better in tough times. They have a huge denial machine that is making Americans forget how the country got here. This is not your typical recession. The fact is Obama prevented a great depression two because we were headed there after the housing crisis. I mean 30-40% of the nations wealth just evaporated over night. You don’t fix that in 4 years and while Obama could have done some things better he did light years better than Republicans would have done like letting Detroit go bankrupt.
Excellent and accurate analysis. When W said he wanted the GOP to return us to the days “before Roosevelt” we did not understand he meant Teddy.
We have lived this life as a nation. Especially after the Civil War, we watched the uber rich claw all the nation’s wealth into their own hands and pockets. In NY City, a miniscule percent were outstandingly rich, about 7% were middle class, and everyone else was desperately poor. The filth, disease, death from everything from industrial accidents to what even then were preventable disease was appalling.
We tend to idealize the non-urban nature of 19th century America. Yes, independent farmers and the small town businesses supporting them were pretty stable – unless you were on the Great Plains where the railroads owned you, controlled your business, and set your prices. It’s why the Grange Movement started – absolute desperation by farmers at the mercy of the railroad barons. Yes, those owning small industrial firms were also pretty stable. My great-grandfather had a cracker making process and store and flourished for a time until he was driven out of business by Nabisco as were thousands of others. My family by no means descended into absolute poverty, but the stability of small owners and thus the wealth of the nation faltered for the majority as it swelled for the few. If such an unfettered market system occurred again do we think we have the resources to weather hard times? Farms are corporate now, not family owned. One is a tenant or manager, not someone who can fall back on the “butter and cream” economics of self sufficiency and small town life. It’s gone.
No one remembers, thanks to New Deal regulation, that this nation suffered depressions – not recessions, but DEPRESSIONS – once every 3-8 years between the Civil War and New Deal. The poverty of immigrants was beyond horrible, and all the “up by the bootstraps” stories of those rising from the tenements were mostly post-1900 when many Progressive Era programs were in place.
Do we think this noble? Desirable? Even possible? WHY?
What is the lure of the rich getting richer when it’s off our backs? Who thinks this lack of security is an improvement? When, as one wag wrote after 2008, your “401K is now a 201K”. What is GOOD about that when you’re 70 years old? What is good about unfettered insurance costs? No private plan can amortize costs the way a government regulated one will – you will pay full freight, if you can pay at all.
What is the attraction of the US becoming a banana republic, a Third World nation with a massive division between a miniscule class of filthy rich and a massive swell of the very poor? Do we want to be like Russia with wealth concentrating in the hands of gangsters?
The predicates for this scenario are all out there. None of them is pretty or good for the majority of Americans, and what is NOT good for the majority means an inexorable rise in death, disease, poverty, criminality, and gang activity.
There is NO survival mode that is functional when the extremes of wealth and poverty are as great as they will be if Romney has his way. Demand WHY any of this would be “good” for us – and remember that the snake oil salesman was the ONLY guy without huge capital who got rich in the 19th century – and that’s because Americans were total suckers for the schmooze. I hope we have learned from that past. We can’t afford to repeat it again.
CL, once again, a marvelous post.
There seems to be a frightening disconnect in the minds of too many Americans between the reality of a society that is “Every person for themselves” with no government safety net and the BS assurances of Repubs that it will make the lives of everyone better.
Americans sometimes have a problem extrapolating out results from policies…and misleading promises about results. The support for the Iraq War and electing Repubs into power in 2010 are perfect examples.
I do think though that the recent suffering of people in the Recession, where they have had to rely on government support, from unemployment extensions to welfare for the newly poor to those reliant on college loans, many will not be so easily turned against government being empowered to help its people.
Good post Adlib!
The GOP only wants to redistribute wealth upwards. They don’t like regulations that impair their path to cheat the middle class and working poor out of their fair share of the American dream.
I for one do not understand how some of the 1%ers can live with themselves. Greed seems to pervert people and cause a lack of conscience.
Nirek, I agree, I think it works both ways. Those with no conscience easily become greedy and those who give into greed lose their conscience. They’re incompatible.