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AdLib On February - 9 - 2016

New Hampshire voters

The polls are open now in New Hampshire for the first Presidential primaries in the country. While it should be considered if it is the best democratic process to allow small states with unrepresentative demographics to have an outsized influence on the way a nation elects its Presidents, there is no doubt that the vote today in New Hampshire will have profound effects on who stays in the race and who eventually becomes President.

Will a bigoted reality show entertainer and billionaire come in first in a Presidential primary? Will a 74 year old Democratic Socialist top the wife of a President, a former U.S. Senator and Secretary of State?

Will Jeb! have to trade in his exclamation point for a period or will he survive to stutter and stumble into obscurity another day?

Will Kasich have his one moment in the sun before burning out?

Will Cruz steal ballot boxes and candy from babies?

Will Marco Rubio hit a wall that Christie forced him to pay for himself?

All of these questions and more will be answered…at least to a degree…tonight in the New Hampshire Primary!

Please feel free to comment on this thread with any news, predictions or observations about today’s election or the race in general.

Should be a fascinating night!

Written by AdLib

My motto is, "It is better to have blogged and lost hours of your day, than never to have blogged at all."

24 Responses so far.

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  1. AdLib says:

    Seeing him at 7%, I think Christie will have to call it quits soon. Carly is so over. Carson will probably stay in at least until SC but he is so toast.

    Everyone else stays in for a little while but I do think Kasich is out after the next 1 or 2 primaries.

    And Rubio will fade out gradually, his marcomentum is micromentum.

  2. monicaangela says:

    MSNBC calling NH primary for Bernie Sanders on the Dem side and Donald Trump on the repub side, early numbers, bur they appear to be pretty sure of their results. Bernie 51% right now. Hillary 40 percent. I sure hope Bernie wins by a landslide!!! :)

    It appears Kasich is in second place, Bush in third, and Rubio 4th…Cruz and the rest not being discussed so far.

    I can’t believe the republicans in NH are actually voting for Trump.

    • pinkpantheroz says:

      Hold on just a tickety-boo, folks! I’m seeing Bernie 60% and 13 delegates, but Hillary is 40% BUT 15 delgates. Thinks ain’t as straightforward as you think. Still, BS was tipped to win by a landslide, and maybe he did, but……

      • monicaangela says:

        Super delegates are being counted when they should not be, that is why the numbers are skewed in that manner. It is another thumb on the scales used by the MSM to make it look as though Sanders win is something less than historic. 😉

    • AdLib says:

      Bernie’s ahead by 18 now and declared the winner! Hillary’s camp was ready to spin this as a victory for her if she lost by single digits. Just for the sake of clarity and as a blow to disinformation, I’m glad Bernie is winning by double digits.

      Trump first and Kasich second is perfect for Dems, Trump and Cruz are locked in a battle and Kasich is not liked in SC so his dropping there will mess up things.

      Another good election night all the way around!

    • kesmarn says:

      So glad to see this one in the win column for Bernie.

      But I’m not happy to see Kasich in 2nd place. He is a dangerous guy, to say the least.

      • monicaangela says:

        Kasich is having his partly sunny day in the election. I don’t believe he will be able to recreate what he has done in New Hampshire. I believe he will be dropping out soon after the next couple of states. I do agree with your assessment of him. I see him as being just as dangerous as Cruz or Rubio, needless to say, Trump as well. :)

      • AdLib says:

        Kes, Kasich will be crushed in the next primary, in SC as Trump and Cruz gain the Religious Right votes there. The Repub base hates Kasich, he’s dead ended by running as a moderate in NH to win there, in deep red states he will be reviled.

        • kesmarn says:

          You always find a way to make me feel better, AdLib! 😀

          I did hear this evening that K-sick is also running out of money. So he may not be on the Koch’s BFF list after all!

  3. Nirek says:

    Hi AdLib, I will predict a BIG victory for Bernie. I doubt that it is because Vermont is next door to NH. I think he makes sense and exudes integrity!

    On the other side, I have no idea who will come out on top.

    I read a piece today that quoted Rubio asying that rape victims should be held in custody if they are considering abortion! What the hell is wrong with that guy? What gives him the authority to make a decision for any woman on what to do with their body? Especially a rape victim! I don’t understand how Rubio can get one vote from any self respecting person?!?

  4. AdLib says:

    Okay, the MSM is so delighted about how so many NH voters say they’re undecided until they get into the polling booth.

    My reaction is, “What idjits!”

    They get to see all the candidates in person over and over, more than any voters except IA, ask any and all questions they have on the issues, see them in debates…and somehow it makes them more clueless about who to vote for???

    It almost seems like it’s encouraged in NH to be undecided until they vote, so that it helps milk campaigns of money into advertising and events.

    NH voters should be the most informed and choosing a candidate should be far easier because of that. If all the campaigning in NH just makes voters dizzy and clueless, is that a statement about political campaigns or people in NH?

    • Maybe that’s just their way of saying, I don’t want to say who I’m voting for. Some people really do like to keep their choice secret. Why? I have no idea.

    • monicaangela says:

      I believe you nailed it AdLib. If all voters in NH were eager to say who they were voting for, it would make the election appear to be less interesting and therefore, less money for advertising, less appearances at Town Halls where memorabilia etc., can be sold, and less of an opportunity for the media to predict the outcome of the election. By the way, the media loves this because they can then make up poll numbers that will cause candidates to spend money on ads. I’m with Bernie, time to get money out of politics. :)

  5. AdLib says:

    I like making predictions even though I risk completely whiffing this but what the hell.

    I think Christie and Carly may drop out tomorrow. Neither looks likely to do well tonight, Christie had everything riding on having a great showing in NH and I don’t think that’s going to happen. Carly is polling so low, she’s not even in the debates now. If she was smart…which is in question…she would recognize there is no path for her anymore, Trump and Cruz have consolidated the RW loon vote so there’s nothing left for her and all the rest of the candidates will leave her far behind (except maybe Christie).

    Here’s a qualified prediction, if Jeb! isn’t at least in the high single digits, his campaign is over…even though with all his money he may stay in for a while so he can leave on his own terms.

    No matter what, Trump, Cruz, Rubio and Kasich will move on from here (but Kasich will be smacked down in SC and the South, he’s strongly disliked by the core Repubs even though Estab Repubs love him).

    • kesmarn says:

      I can definitely see Carly bailing tomorrow, but I have a sense that Christie is just a little too stubborn and in denial to give it up just yet. He’s going to have to be down to his last donut to face the reality that he’s not going to win it this year. (Or ever, truth be told, Chrispie.)

      • monicaangela says:

        I agree with your assessment regarding Christie, as long as he has a permanent seat on Morning Joe he will continue to stumble through this endeavor…he’s got to do something, it’s for sure he won’t get another term as governor and barring that what is left for him a boring job for some law firm or maybe criminal justice? He’ll hang in there, and hope that maybe he will be considered for VP or something. I’m sure he must be thinking having to actually work for a living isn’t what he wants at this point in his life. :)

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